Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • Louis Bradford 53' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 76' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Pritchard 1'
  • goal Chris Venables 26'
  • yellowcard Joe Woodiwiss 38'
  • yellowcard Owen Pritchard 38'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 76'
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 85'
  • goal Nathan Wood 88'

Aberystwyth Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jonathan Evans

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 4 - 1 Barry
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
James Crole

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 69.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.47%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result

Aberystwyth Town 11.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 18.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Pen-y-Bont 69.51% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.08% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.67% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 46.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 68.61% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 15.64% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 84.36% ▲ (+0.17)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 51.33% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 48.67% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 16.28% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 83.72% ▲ (+0.09)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 87.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 12.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 62.19% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 37.81% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Aberystwyth Town 11.54%
Draw 18.95%
Pen-y-Bont 69.5%
Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 11.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.95%
Pen-y-Bont
0-2 @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 69.5%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Bryntirion Park
Aberystwyth
  • Mattie Davies 13' goal
  • Gabe Kircough 32' yellowcard
  • Billy Borge 42' goal
  • Owen Pritchard 61' goal
  • Lewys Ware 80' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 83' goal
  • Chris Venables 87' goal
  • goal Devon Torry 32'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
Apr 6, 2024 5.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 10'
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 17'
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 51'
  • goal Chris Venables 57'
  • goal Chris Venables 62'
  • yellowcard Eliot Richards 65'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 81'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 82'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
Aberystwyth
  • Ryan Reynolds 52' goal
  • Henry Jones 86' yellowcard
  • Adam Przybek 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Owen 51'
  • yellowcard Liam Walsh 54'
  • yellowcard Jake Canavan 83'
  • goal Mark Cadwallader 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Dave Jones 90'+4'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The KYMCO Stadium
Aberystwyth
  • Ashley Evans 27' redcard
  • Henry Jones 58' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Taylor 14'
  • goal Jack Thorn 28'
  • yellowcard John Owen 41'
  • yellowcard Jack Thorn 71'
  • yellowcard H 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
Sep 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • Harry Owen 47' yellowcard
  • Jack Thorn 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 48'
  • goal Ryan Reynolds 59'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 83'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Park Avenue Ground
Pen-y-Bont
  • goal Keyon Reffell 24'
  • goal Kostya Georgievsky 38'
  • goal Jack Rimmer 64' (OG)

Form Data

Connah's Quay 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Barry 1 - 0 Aberystwyth
Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Cardiff MU
Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Haverfordwest
Bala Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth
Aberystwyth 0 - 2 Flint Town
Pen-y-Bont 4 - 1 Barry
Flint Town 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Briton Ferry
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 1 New Saints
Connah's Quay 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Caernarfon