Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm

1

4

HT : 0 3

FT The Oval

Morgan Owen 37'
Zack Clarke 90'+1'

Jonathan Evans 23'
Louis Bradford 29'
Niall Flint 34'
Iwan Lewis 69'
Niall Flint 69'
Niall Flint 73'
Dave Jones 81'
Niall Flint 82'

Caernarfon Town vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
D

Welsh Premier League

L
W
W
W
W
D

Last game

Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Newtown

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Oct 12, 2024 2.30pm

Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 72.55% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 16.37% ▼ (-0.03)

Aberystwyth Town 11.09% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

52.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 35.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 42.42% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 57.58% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 4.5 24.12% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 4.5 75.88% ▼ (-0.05)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 91.48% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 8.52% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 1.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.61%

Under 0.5 42.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 21.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 78.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 72.55%

Draw 16.37%

Aberystwyth Town 11.09%

Caernarfon Town

2-0 @ 10.95%

2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.01)

4-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)

5-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)

5-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)

6-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)

5-2 @ 1% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.77%

Total : 72.55%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.08%

Total : 16.37%

Aberystwyth Town

1-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.15%

Other @ 2.23%

Total : 11.09%

Head to Head

Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 4'
Zack Clarke 59'
Dion Donohue 63'
Adam Davies 66'
Danny Gosset 78'
Louis Lloyd 85'

Jack Thorn 28'
H 82'

Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm

2

4

HT : 2 2

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Owen 4'
Iwan Lewis 26'
Louis Bradford 40'
Dave Jones 66'

Zack Clarke 6'
Zack Clarke 19'
Louis Lloyd 34'
Adam Davies 71'
Adam Davies 90'+2'

Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 39'
Mark Cadwallader 55'
Niall Flint 90'+4'

Rob Hughes 2'
Laurie Bell 45'+1'

Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Niall Flint 41'

Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 8'
Niall Flint 77'

Rhys Alun 89'

Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 20'
Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 73'

Sam Litchfield 81'

Form Data

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Newtown

New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connah's Quay

Flint Town 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Barry 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Connah's Quay 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Barry 1 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Cardiff MU

Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Haverfordwest

Bala Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth