Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12

Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Newtown

Lloyd (63' pen.)
Mendes (44'), Thomas (45+2'), Thomas (57'), Hill (65'), John Williams (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lock (15'), Evans (59')
Ismail (38'), Roberts (45+2'), Oswell (62')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Flint Town
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
44.59% ( 0.16)	24.44% ( 0.02)	30.97% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.15)

44.54% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.14)

66.91% (

0.14)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.02)

20.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.02)

52.36% (

-0.01)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0.18)

27.3% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.24)

62.75% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 44.59%

Newtown AFC 30.97%

Draw 24.44%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.59%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.97%