Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.