Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.