Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shelbourne in this match.