Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Drogheda United

Dundalk
4 - 2
Drogheda

Hakiki (8'), O'Kane (16'), Horgan (55', 85')
Keogh (49'), O'Kane (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
James-Taylor (37', 90+3' pen.)
Ahui (39'), Doherty (40'), Farrell (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Drogheda United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 4 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawDrogheda United
57% (-1.025 -1.03)25.35% (0.491 0.49)17.65% (0.534 0.53)
Both teams to score 41.42% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.961 -0.96)59.44% (0.96 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.744 -0.74)79.81% (0.744 0.74)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.791 -0.79)20.92% (0.791 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-1.253 -1.25)53.65% (1.252 1.25)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.38% (0.104 0.1)47.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)82.95% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 57%
    Drogheda United 17.65%
    Draw 25.34%
DundalkDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 15.58% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.355 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 17.65%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Drogheda

Dundalk
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Drogheda United
8.3%
24
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 14
Drogheda
2-1
Dundalk
Pierrot (55'), Cann (90+4')
Deegan (36'), Quinn (70'), Foley (90+8'), Brennan (90+10')
Barr (76')
Gullan (78')
Doyle (56'), Oostenbrink (72'), High (90+3')
Shelvey (90+11')
Apr 1, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 8
Dundalk
0-0
Drogheda
Durrant (39'), Animasahun (57'), Davies (83')
Davies (90+2')
Gallagher (42')
Heeney (70')
Sep 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Dundalk
3-1
Drogheda
Doyle (40'), Kelly (46'), Hoban (77')
Benson (63')
Robinson (26')
Robinson (35')
Jun 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Drogheda
1-2
Dundalk
Foley (9')
Brennan (53')
Draper (80')
Hoban (77', 80')
Annesley (60'), Boyle (86')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Dundalk
3-2
Drogheda
O'Kane (23'), Hoban (28'), Martin (90+1')
Rooney (54'), Draper (72')