Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
0 - 2
Waterford


Elliott (76'), Muller (87'), Keogh (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Parsons (19'), McMenamy (43')
Power (29'), Parsons (36'), McCormack (53'), Leahy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Waterford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 29.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawWaterford United
41.61% (0.122 0.12)29.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.03% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)83.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.066000000000003 0.07)66.6% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.107 -0.11)38.93% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.104 -0.1)75.66% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 41.6%
    Waterford United 29.03%
    Draw 29.35%
DundalkDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Waterford

Dundalk
35.7%
Draw
14.3%
Waterford United
50.0%
14
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Waterford
4-1
Dundalk
Asamoah (2', 44', 76'), Pattison (53')
Asamoah (78'), Radkowski (89')
Benson (22')
Benson (35'), Gullan (36'), Mountney (54')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Dundalk
0-0
Waterford
Durrant (85'), Elliott (86')
O'Keeffe (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Dundalk
1-0
Waterford
Kelly (45+1')
Murray (78'), Cleary (84')

Wordsworth (87')
Sep 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Waterford
1-1
Dundalk
Wordsworth (77')
O'Keeffe (49')
Murray (5')
Cleary (48'), Hoban (49'), Boyle (74'), Han (81')
Jun 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Dundalk
1-3
Waterford
Hoban (31' pen.)
(63')
Martin (43', 75'), Griffin (62')
Griffin (21'), Evans (31'), Stephen John Bircham (90+1'), O'Keeffe (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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