League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 2, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Bobby Burns 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Walsh 53'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 64'
  • yellowcard John Caulfield 65'
  • yellowcard Josh O'Connor 83'
  • goal Stephen Walsh 87'

Dundalk vs Galway United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 7.45pm
Bohemians 1 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
James Gullan

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 7.45pm
Sligo 2 - 0 Galway United
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Stephen Walsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.

Result

Dundalk 32.44% (+0.29)
Draw 29.82% (+0.07)
Galway United 37.74% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.37% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.28% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 64.71% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 16.31% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 83.69% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 6.3% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 93.7% (+0.07)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 63.32% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 36.68% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 26.53% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 73.47% (-0.12)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5 66.92% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 33.08% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 30.32% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 69.67% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Dundalk 32.43%
Draw 29.82%
Galway United 37.73%
Dundalk
1-0 @ 12.16% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 6.75% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.1% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.04% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 32.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.13% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.82%
Galway United
0-1 @ 13.42% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.73%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • 23' goal
  • Ross Munro 23' goal
  • Stephen Walsh 70' yellowcard
  • Maurice Nugent 72' goal
  • Conor McCormack 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 61'
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park
  • goal Ed McCarthy 10'
  • goal Aodh Dervin 30'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 44'
  • yellowcard Killian Brouder 69'