Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Galway United in this match.