League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Waterford
Jul 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's
  • Ben McCormack 52' goal
  • Kacper Radkowski 61' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 74' yellowcard
  • Connor Parsons 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 70'

Waterford United vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
Dundalk 0 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
St Patrick's 0 - 0 Bohemians
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Jake Mulraney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result

Waterford United 32.89% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 26.61% ▲ (+0.02)
St Patrick's Athletic 40.5% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 74.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 30.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 33.47% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.53% ▼ (-0.14)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 74.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 25.83% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 39.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 60.8% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Waterford United 32.89%
Draw 26.61%
St Patrick's Athletic 40.5%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.61%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.5%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
St Patrick's
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
Waterford
  • Mason Melia 37' yellowcard
  • Aaron Bolger 41' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 65' goal
  • Chris Forrester 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Maleace Asamoah 13'
  • yellowcard Robert McCourt 29'
  • yellowcard Keith Long 30'
  • yellowcard Maleace Asamoah 38'
  • yellowcard Ben McCormack 73'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Waterford
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's
  • Padraig Amond 7' goal
  • Padraig Amond 41' goal
  • Padraig Amond 56' yellowcard
  • Maleace Asamoah 70' goal
  • Rowan McDonald 77' yellowcard
  • Darragh Power 81' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Breslin 34'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 56'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Waterford
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Patrick's
  • Jeremie Milambo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jak Hickman 55'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
St Patrick's
Aug 13, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Waterford
  • Matthew Smith 23' goal
  • Ben McCormack 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 55' yellowcard
  • Nahum Melvin-Lambert 58' goal
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 28'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nolan 51'
  • goal Junior Quitirna 64'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
Waterford
Jun 25, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
St Patrick's
  • 26' yellowcard
  • Shane Griffin 35' goal
  • 58' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Smith 8'
  • redcard Alfie Lewis 18'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
St Patrick's
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Waterford
  • Darragh Burns 3' goal
  • yellowcard John Martin 33'
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 48'
  • yellowcard Jamie Mascoll 53'
  • yellowcard Prince Mutswunguma 67'
  • yellowcard James Waite 83'
  • yellowcard Tummise Sobowale 90'+3'

Form Data

Dundalk 0 - 2 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne
Waterford 4 - 1 Sligo
Derry 3 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 2 - 1 Bohemians
Waterford 4 - 2 Drogheda
St Patrick's 0 - 0 Bohemians
St Patrick's 2 - 1 Shamrock
Drogheda 0 - 0 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 2 - 3 Dundalk
St Patrick's 2 - 1 Galway United
Bohemians 2 - 2 St Patrick's