Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.