Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Galway United in this match.