League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry City

Galway United
1 - 0
Derry

Hickey (76')
Walsh (21'), McCormack (43'), Hurley (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (65'), Mullen (76'), Maher (90+4')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Galway United and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galway United

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Galway United
Sunday, August 25 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Derry
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Galway United in this match.

Result
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City
39.87% (0.187 0.19)28.92% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)31.21% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96% (0.164 0.16)62.04% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.122 0.12)81.77% (-0.121 -0.12)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (0.191 0.19)30.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (0.228 0.23)66.6% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Galway United 39.86%
    Derry City 31.21%
    Draw 28.91%
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 31.21%

Head to Head
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Derry
2-0
Galway United
Patching (65'), Hoban (86')
Doherty (35'), O'Reilly (55')

Dervin (43'), Esua (84')
> Preview
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Galway United
0-0
Derry
Mar 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Derry
0-1
Galway United

McMullan (43'), Connolly (78'), Maher (81')
Walsh (85')
McCormack (42')