UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage

Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Windsor Park

Larne
1 - 4
Shamrock

Gallagher (48')
Graham (27'), Cosgrove (37')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Honohan (3'), Kenny (24'), Cosgrove (30' og.), Burke (54')
Lopes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Larne and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Shamrock
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
46.96% ( 0.06)	25.41% ( -0.01)	27.62% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.47% (

0.04)

50.53% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.55% (

0.03)

72.45% (

-0.03)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

0.04)

21.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

0.06)

54.58% (

-0.06)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

-0.01)

32.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

-0.01)

69.3% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Larne 46.96%

Shamrock Rovers 27.62%

Draw 25.41%

Larne	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.96%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.62%