Conference League
Oct 24, 2024 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Windsor Park
  • Sean Graham 27' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cosgrove 37' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 48' goal
  • goal Josh Honohan 3'
  • goal Johnny Kenny 24'
  • goal Tomas Cosgrove 30' (OG)
  • goal Graham Burke 54'
  • yellowcard Roberto Lopes 90'+3'

Larne vs Shamrock Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Molde 3 - 0 Larne

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 1 APOEL

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result

Larne 46.96% (+0.06)
Draw 25.41% (-0.02)
Shamrock Rovers 27.62% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.55% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.45% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.01% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.98% (-0.03)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 78.48% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.52% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.42% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.58% (-0.06)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.26% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.74% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.3% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Larne 46.96%
Draw 25.41%
Shamrock Rovers 27.62%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.41%
Shamrock Rovers
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 27.62%