Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.