Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Larne win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.