Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Molde logo
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion
Larne

Molde
3 - 0
Larne

Wolff Eikrem (51'), Brynhildsen (78'), Ihler (90+5')
Wolff Eikrem (72'), Enggard (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Todd (17')
McKendry (90')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Molde and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: Molde 5-3 Tromso
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Larne

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-3 Larne
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Larne win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLarne
74.15% (0.188 0.19)15.8% (0.134 0.13)10.05% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 50.81% (-1.914 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-1.762 -1.76)35.96% (1.758 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.94% (-1.964 -1.96)58.06% (1.959 1.96)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (-0.384 -0.38)8.28% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.1% (-0.958 -0.96)28.9% (0.952 0.95)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.39% (-1.849 -1.85)44.61% (1.844 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.38% (-1.533 -1.53)80.62% (1.527 1.53)
Score Analysis
    Molde 74.15%
    Larne 10.05%
    Draw 15.8%
MoldeDrawLarne
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 9.52% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.626 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.69% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.221 -0.22)
5-0 @ 2.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.177 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 74.15%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.314 0.31)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.8%
1-2 @ 3% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 10.05%

How you voted: Molde vs Larne

Molde
83.3%
Draw
4.2%
Larne
12.5%
24