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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 24
Sep 28, 2024 at 1pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
5 - 3
Tromso

Wolff Eikrem (6'), Eriksen (24', 90+2'), Stenevik (73' pen.), Brynhildsen (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cornic (56', 85'), Edvardsson (90+4')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Tromso IL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KFUM 1-1 Molde
Monday, September 23 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Tromso IL

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-0 Sandefjord
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawTromso IL
61.3% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)18.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.27% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)37.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.98% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)11.89% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)37.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.53% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 61.3%
    Tromso IL 18.44%
    Draw 20.25%
MoldeDrawTromso IL
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 61.3%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.44%

Head to Head
Jun 28, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Tromso
0-2
Molde
Eriksen (33'), Fjortoft Lovik (61')
Fjortoft Lovik (16'), Posiadala (78')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Molde
1-4
Tromso
Haugen (84')
Wolff Eikrem (88')
Hadji Malick Diouf (33'), Traore (56'), Nordas (75', 78')
Gundersen (19'), Opsahl (27')
Apr 10, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Tromso
1-0
Molde
Erlien (54')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Tromso
0-1
Molde
Brynhildsen (23')
Jul 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Molde
5-1
Tromso
Knudtzon (16'), Haugen (20'), Fofana (45+3', 62'), Andre Kaasa (63')
Knudtzon (29')
Kitolano (7')
Kitolano (38'), Kjelsrud Vik (72')