Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.