Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.