Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
41.09% ( 0.41)	23.61% ( -0.01)	35.29% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 62.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

-0.04)

39.21% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.03)

61.54% (

0.03)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.17)

19.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

0.28)

51.26% (

-0.28)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.23)

22.23% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

-0.34)

55.66% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 41.09%

Molde 35.29%

Draw 23.61%

Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.09%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.29%