Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
47.84% ( 0.12)	22.87% ( -0.05)	29.28% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 62.65% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.91% (

0.17)

38.08% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.65% (

0.18)

60.35% (

-0.18)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

0.11)

16.26% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2% (

0.19)

45.79% (

-0.2)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

0.04)

25.18% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09% (

0.05)

59.9% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 47.84%

Sarpsborg 08 29.28%

Draw 22.87%

Lillestrom	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.84%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.28%