Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Aker Stadion
Lillestrom

Kristiansund
2 - 1
Lillestrom

Rakneberg (44'), Stromland Lien (49')
Lansing (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elkaer (28')
Garnas (23'), Gabrielsen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Kristiansund and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kristiansund

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
KristiansundDrawLillestrom
37.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)23.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)36.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Kristiansund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kristiansund 37.43%
    Lillestrom 39.41%
    Draw 23.16%
KristiansundDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 37.43%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.41%

How you voted: Kristiansund vs Lillestrom

Kristiansund
42.5%
Draw
32.5%
Lillestrom
25.0%
40
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Lillestrom
2-3
Kristiansund
Garnas (59'), Lehne Olsen (82')
Alte (13'), Peter Ulvestad (49'), Bruseth (66')
Gueye (38'), Rafn Mikaelsson (47')
Aug 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-1
Kristiansund
Fridjonsson (23')
Ranger (2')
Williamsen (54')
Williamsen (17')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Kristiansund
1-3
Lillestrom
Bye (20' pen.)
Jarl (57'), Williamsen (79')
Adams (71', 84'), Fridjonsson (87')
Adams (85')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lillestrom
0-0
Kristiansund
Garnas (50'), Dragsnes (54'), Matthew (71'), Ogbu (88')
Ogbu (90+7')
Coly (79')
May 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Kristiansund
1-0
Lillestrom
Bye (83')
Aasbak (41'), Kartum (70')

Ranger (1')