Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.