Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.