Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
Sandefjord

Johansen (13' pen.), Emanuel Halvorsen (68')
Meister (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mettler (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sandefjord

All competitions
Last Game: Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
51.46% (0.237 0.24)21.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 64.48% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.233 0.23)34.78% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.259 0.26)56.75% (-0.262 -0.26)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (0.155 0.16)13.82% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.82% (0.311 0.31)41.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.17% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 51.46%
    Sandefjord 26.74%
    Draw 21.8%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08
64.7%
Draw
17.6%
Sandefjord
17.6%
17
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Sandefjord
4-1
Sarpsborg
Ruud Tveter (2' pen., 60'), Al-Saed (73'), Markovic (75')
Dunsby (16'), Ottosson (30')
Johansen (51' pen.)
Franklin (27'), Wichne (45+4'), Meister (66')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Sandefjord
5-1
Sarpsborg
Nilsson (31', 80'), Nyenetue (45+2'), Al-Saed (74'), Kristiansen (90' og.)
Erik Odegaard (0')
Torp (1')
Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (24')
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
6-1
Sandefjord
Fardal Opseth (10', 20'), Torp (11'), Soltvedt (51'), Lundqvist (66'), Wichne (79')
Taaje (45')
Smeulers (32')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Sandefjord
1-1
Sarpsborg
Ofkir (44')
Engvall (78')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
4-3
Sandefjord
Maigaard (8', 19'), Saletros (54' pen.), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (70')
Vidtun Nilsen (39')
Ruud Tveter (22'), Vega (44'), Ofkir (73')
Ayer (77'), Smeulers (90+2')