Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.