Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Mlada Boleslav win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.