/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fshalog.png)
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Marc Guiu
23'
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Marc Guiu
34'
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Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
40'
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Marc Guiu
45'+4'
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Marc Cucurella
58'
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Markus Poom
26'
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Markus Poom
30'
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Roberto Lopes
62'
Chelsea vs Shamrock Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmarc-guiu.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmarc-guiu_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fwesley-fofana.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fchelsea.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Ftosin-adarabioyo-axel-disasi.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fbenoit-badiashile.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Chelsea
68.11%
▼
(-1.69)
Draw
17.36%
▲
(+0.84)
Shamrock Rovers
14.53%
▲
(+0.86)
Both Teams to Score:
60.09%
▼
(-0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.68%
▼
(-2.20)
Under 2.5
31.32%
▲
(+2.21)
Over 3.5
47.23%
▼
(-2.65)
Under 3.5
52.77%
▲
(+2.65)
Over 4.5
28.24%
▼
(-2.38)
Under 4.5
71.75%
▲
(+2.39)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
91.57%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 0.5
8.43%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 1.5
70.72%
▼
(-2.29)
Under 1.5
29.27%
▲
(+2.30)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
65.63%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
34.37%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
28.92%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
71.08%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Chelsea
68.11%
Draw
17.36%
Shamrock Rovers
14.53%
Chelsea
2-1
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.55)
4-1 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.33)
4-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.28)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.24)
5-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 5.52%
Total : 68.11%
2-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.55)
4-1 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.33)
4-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.28)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.24)
5-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 5.52%
Total : 68.11%
Draw
1-1
@
7.65%
▲
(+0.52)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.36%
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.36%
Shamrock Rovers
1-2
@
4.09%
▲
(+0.24)
0-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.53%
0-1 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.53%
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fjosh-acheampong.jpg)