Premier League Gameweek 16
Chelsea
Dec 15, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Brentford
  • Marc Cucurella 43' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 80' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 90'
  • yellowcard Vitaly Janelt 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 90'+8'

Chelsea vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
Spurs 3 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 75.91% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 14% ▲ (+0.19)
Brentford 10.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.96% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.74% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 26.26% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 53.45% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 46.55% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 4.5 33.98% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 4.5 66.02% ▲ (+0.95)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 94.25% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 5.74% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 77.84% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 22.15% ▲ (+0.59)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 62.55% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 37.45% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 25.77% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 74.23% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Chelsea 75.91%
Draw 14%
Brentford 10.09%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.22)
4-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 75.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 14%
Brentford
1-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.09%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Brentford
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Chelsea
  • Mads Roerslev 50' goal
  • Vitaly Janelt 57' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 69' goal
  • Frank Onyeka 73' yellowcard
  • Mathias Jorgensen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 35'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 38'
  • goal Axel Disasi 83'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Chelsea
Oct 28, 2023 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Brentford
  • Moises Caicedo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neal Maupay 56'
  • goal Ethan Pinnock 58'
  • yellowcard Frank Onyeka 85'
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 90'+5'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Chelsea
Apr 26, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brentford
  • goal Cesar Azpilicueta 37' (OG)
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 78'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Brentford
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
Premier League Gameweek 31
Chelsea
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Brentford
  • Antonio Rudiger 48' goal
  • goal Vitaly Janelt 50'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 54'
  • goal Vitaly Janelt 60'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 87'
EFL Cup
Brentford
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Chelsea
  • Vitaly Janelt 12' yellowcard
  • Sergi Canos 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Vale 45'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 77'
  • goal Pontus Jansson 80' (OG)
  • goal Jorginho 85'

Form Data

Astana 1 - 3 Chelsea
Spurs 3 - 4 Chelsea
Southampton 1 - 5 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Chelsea
Leicester 1 - 2 Chelsea
Brentford 4 - 2 Newcastle
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 4 - 1 Leicester
Everton 0 - 0 Brentford
Brentford 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 2 - 1 Brentford

Build-up

News
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