Premier League Gameweek 10
Man Utd
Nov 3, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Chelsea
  • Manuel Ugarte 42' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 70' goal
  • Casemiro 85' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 36'
  • goal Moises Caicedo 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 90'+4'

Manchester United vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
West Ham 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Manchester United 47.58% ▼ (-1.88)
Draw 22.14% ▲ (+0.68)
Chelsea 30.28% ▲ (+1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.07% ▼ (-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.12% ▼ (-2.60)
Under 2.5 33.88% ▲ (+2.60)
Over 3.5 44.28% ▼ (-3.00)
Under 3.5 55.73% ▲ (+3.01)
Over 4.5 25.68% ▼ (-2.61)
Under 4.5 74.32% ▲ (+2.61)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 85.22% ▼ (-1.56)
Under 0.5 14.78% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 1.5 56.96% ▼ (-3.08)
Under 1.5 43.04% ▲ (+3.08)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 77.53% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 22.47% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 1.5 43.98% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 56.02% ▲ (+0.91)

Score analysis

Manchester United 47.58%
Draw 22.14%
Chelsea 30.28%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.50)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.32)
4-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.28)
4-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.18)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.19)
4-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.43)
3-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.14%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.33)
0-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.57)
0-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.37)
1-3 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Chelsea
Apr 4, 2024 8.15pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stamford Bridge
Man Utd
  • Conor Gallagher 4' goal
  • Cole Palmer 19' goal
  • Malo Gusto 32' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+10' goal
  • Cole Palmer 90'+11' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 34'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 39'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 67'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 90'+13'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Man Utd
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
Chelsea
  • Luke Shaw 14' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 19' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 22' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 69' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 82' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Palmer 45'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Man Utd
May 25, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Casemiro 6' goal
  • Anthony Martial 45'+6' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 78' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 89'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Oct 22, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Jorginho 87' goal
  • goal Casemiro 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Man Utd
Apr 28, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 62' goal
  • goal Marcos Alonso 60'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 87'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Reece James 53' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 69' goal
  • Thomas Tuchel 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 45'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 49'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 77'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 90'+6'

Form Data

Man Utd 5 - 2 Leicester
West Ham 2 - 1 Man Utd
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Aston Villa 0 - 0 Man Utd
Porto 3 - 3 Man Utd
Newcastle 2 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 1 Newcastle
Panathinaikos 1 - 4 Chelsea
Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 4 - 2 Gent

Build-up

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