Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Stamford Bridge
Brighton
  • Cole Palmer 21' goal
  • Cole Palmer 28' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 31' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 33' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 41' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 78' yellowcard
  • goal Georginio Rutter 7'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 27'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 29'
  • goal Carlos Balepa 34'

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
West Ham 0 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
Brighton 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 52.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 21% ▼ (-0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion 26.24% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.02% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.72% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 31.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 47.28% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 52.71% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 28.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 71.71% ▼ (-0.17)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 87.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 12.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 62.09% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 37.9% ▼ (-0.17)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 23.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 57.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Chelsea 52.76%
Draw 21%
Brighton & Hove Albion 26.24%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 52.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.24%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Brighton
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Chelsea
  • Lewis Dunk 29' yellowcard
  • Bart Verbruggen 81' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+7' goal
  • goal Cole Palmer 34'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 64'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 77'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 79'
  • redcard Reece James 88'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Chelsea
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Brighton
  • Enzo Fernandez 17' goal
  • Levi Colwill 21' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 31' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 45' redcard
  • Benoit Badiashile 52' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 59' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 65' goal
  • Robert Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Buonanotte 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 58'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 64'
  • yellowcard James Milner 64'
  • goal Joao Pedro 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+14'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Brighton
  • Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero 43' yellowcard
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 45' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 42'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 90'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
Chelsea
Jul 23, 2023 12.00am
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Lincoln Financial Field
Brighton
  • Christopher Nkunku 19' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 65' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 72' goal
  • Nicholas Jackson 77' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 13'
  • goal Joao Pedro 79'
  • goal Deniz Undav 89'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Chelsea
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Brighton
  • Conor Gallagher 13' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 42'
  • goal Julio Enciso 69'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Brighton
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Leandro Trossard 5' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 14' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 42' goal
  • Pascal Gross 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kai Havertz 48'

Form Data

Chelsea 5 - 0 Barrow
West Ham 0 - 3 Chelsea
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Servette 2 - 1 Chelsea
Wolves 2 - 6 Chelsea
Brighton 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Brighton 3 - 2 Wolves
Brighton 0 - 0 Ipswich
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 0 Crawley
Brighton 2 - 1 Man Utd

Build-up

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