EFL Cup
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Barrow
  • Christopher Nkunku 8' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 15' goal
  • Paul Farman 28' goal
  • Joao Felix 45' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 48' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 75' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Foley 27'

Chelsea vs Barrow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Barrow

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 20.06% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 60.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 19.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Barrow 20.06% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.77% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.76% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 33.24% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 55% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 26.3% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 73.71% ▲ (+0.24)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 89.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 10.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 65.04% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 34.96% ▲ (+0.15)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 70.41% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 29.59% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 34.38% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 65.63% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Chelsea 60.08%
Draw 19.87%
Barrow 20.06%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 60.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.87%
Barrow
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 20.06%

Form Data

West Ham 0 - 3 Chelsea
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Servette 2 - 1 Chelsea
Wolves 2 - 6 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 0 Servette
Barrow 2 - 0 Newport
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Barrow
Barrow 1 - 1 Swindon
Barrow 2 - 3 Bolton
Harrogate 0 - 1 Barrow
Barrow 0 - 0 Derby

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