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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 31.26% ( | 26.17% ( | 42.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( | 51.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( | 73.62% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( | 30.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( | 67.04% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( | 58.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.57% |