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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Swindon Town

Barrow
1 - 1
Swindon

Garner (35')
Newby (55')
Farman (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Butterworth (90+8')
Wright (42'), Kilkenny (61')
Smith (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-3 Bolton
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barrow 2-1 Swindon Town

With Swindon unbeaten away from home in the league, this may not be as plain sailing for Barrow as many people anticipate. However, we are still backing the home side to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
41.7% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 32.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.3% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 41.7%
    Swindon Town 32.04%
    Draw 26.25%
BarrowDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Barrow vs Swindon

Barrow
70.6%
Draw
8.8%
Swindon Town
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barrow
0-2
Swindon

Wild (44'), Gotts (51'), Ray (53'), Newby (82')
Kokolo (35'), Glatzel (45')
Drinan (43'), Kokolo (60')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swindon
0-3
Barrow

Kinsella (65')
Spence (34'), Foley (58'), Chester (73')
Garner (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barrow
0-1
Swindon
Reed (7' pen.)
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swindon
2-1
Barrow
Davison (22'), Reed (85')
Odimayo (61')
Platt (83')
Gotts (24'), Brough (73'), Gordon (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Grimsby Town105051317-415
11Chesterfield103521710714
12AFC Wimbledon741295413
13MK Dons103341312112
14Bradford CityBradford93331110112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64


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