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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 41.7% ( | 26.25% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( | 73.72% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( | 24.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( | 59.16% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( | 30.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( | 66.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.04% |