/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
-
Edward Francis
65'
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Jack Aitchison
81'
-
Joel Cotterill
68'
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Harrison Minturn
71'
-
Harry Smith
78'
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Ryan Delaney
90'+2'
Exeter City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Exeter City
34.94%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
24.98%
▲
(+0.30)
Swindon Town
40.08%
▼
(-0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
57.59%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.22%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 2.5
45.78%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 3.5
31.9%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 3.5
68.09%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 4.5
16.01%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 4.5
83.99%
▲
(+0.92)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
74.52%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 0.5
25.47%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
39.69%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 1.5
60.31%
▲
(+0.76)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.27%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
22.72%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 1.5
43.61%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 1.5
56.39%
▲
(+1.17)
Score analysis
Exeter City
34.94%
Draw
24.97%
Swindon Town
40.08%
Exeter City
2-1
@
8.02%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.32)
2-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 34.94%
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.32)
2-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 34.94%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
Swindon Town
1-2
@
8.69%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.08%
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.08%