League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
0 - 2
Exeter

Santos (23'), Johnston (66'), Yfeko (90+1'), Cogley (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doyle (34'), Alli (49')
Sweeney (9'), Niskanen (53'), Whitworth (69'), Cole (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
45.22% ( 0.05)	24.56% ( -0)	30.22% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

-0.03)

45.4% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

-0.02)

67.73% (

0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

0.01)

20.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.53% (

0.02)

52.47% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.05)

28.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.06)

63.93% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 45.22%

Exeter City 30.22%

Draw 24.56%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.22%