Port Vale
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Bolton logo

Port Vale
0 - 3
Bolton


Lowe (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Collins (2'), Adeboyejo (29'), Charles (75')
Conway (69')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Port Vale and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Stoke
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
27.35% (-0.064 -0.06)25.92% (0.458 0.46)46.73% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-1.45 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (-1.869 -1.87)52.74% (1.869 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-1.619 -1.62)74.37% (1.62 1.62)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-1.043 -1.04)34.12% (1.041 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-1.137 -1.14)70.81% (1.137 1.14)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.96000000000001 -0.96)22.55% (0.959 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-1.451 -1.45)56.14% (1.45 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 27.35%
    Bolton Wanderers 46.73%
    Draw 25.92%
Port ValeDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.372 0.37)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.552 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 46.73%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
2-0
Port Vale
Collins (72'), Jerome (90+3')
Maghoma (70'), Charles (70'), Toal (79')

Garrity (70')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bolton
2-0
Port Vale
Charles (9'), Mendes Gomes (64')
Thomason (60')

Iacovitti (57')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
0-1
Bolton

Iacovitti (3'), Balmer (45+1')
Charles (43')
Iredale (64'), Morley (68'), Sheehan (76')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bolton
2-1
Port Vale
Adeboyejo (18'), Sheehan (26')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Bolton
Forrester (45+2'), C (86')
Santos (10'), Williams (49')
Santos (37')