League One Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Jensen Weir 35' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 29'
  • yellowcard Liam Bennett 37'
  • yellowcard Gassan Ahadme 39'
  • yellowcard Jubril Okedina 86'

Port Vale vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2024 7.45pm
Cambridge 1 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gassan Ahadme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Port Vale 50.5% (-0.28)
Draw 24.29% (+0.16)
Cambridge United 25.21% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 47.59% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 30.2% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 69.79% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 14.81% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 85.18% (+0.37)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 81.13% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 18.87% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 49.66% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 50.33% (+0.55)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.11% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.29% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 69.71% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Port Vale 50.49%
Draw 24.29%
Cambridge United 25.21%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.41% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
Cambridge United
0-1 @ 6.91% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.36% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.21%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Fejiri Okenabirhie 66' goal
  • goal Ben Garrity 20'
  • yellowcard Kofi Balmer 25'
  • yellowcard Andy Crosby 26'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • goal Sam Smith 48'
  • goal Lloyd Jones 52'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • goal Paul Digby 79' (OG)
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • goal Liam O'Neil 85'
League Two Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Paul Mullin 3' goal
  • Paul Mullin 51' goal
  • Adam May 84' yellowcard
  • Paul Mullin 90'+5' goal
  • goal Theo Robinson 18'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
Abbey Stadium