League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Peterborough

Cole (4', 4')
Caldwell (24'), Yfeko (70')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Mothersille (7', 7'), Fernandez (45', 45')
Wallin (23'), Wallin (23'), Curtis (90'), Collins (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Peterborough United
27.18% ( -0.01)	24.95% ( -0)	47.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

48.86% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

70.96% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0)

32.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.01)

68.7% (

0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.01)

20.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.01)

52.9% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 27.18%

Peterborough United 47.87%

Draw 24.94%

Exeter City	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.18%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.87%