Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.