EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Peterborough

Goodrham (20'), Phillips (41')
Goodrham (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Curtis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
31.99% ( -0)	24.79%	43.21%

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

-0)

45.69% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

-0.01)

68.01% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

-0)

27.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.37% (

-0.01)

62.63% (

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0)

21.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

-0)

54.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 31.99%

Peterborough United 43.21%

Draw 24.79%

Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.21%