EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 3
Notts County

Kayode (67'), Shipley (70', 83')
Hoole (86'), Rossiter (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Grant (4'), Austin (23'), Jatta (89')
McGoldrick (80')

Shrewsbury win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Shrewsbury Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Notts County
33.04% ( -0.14)	24.68% ( 0.04)	42.28% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 58.15% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

-0.23)

44.83% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

-0.22)

67.19% (

0.22)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.2)

26.14% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

-0.26)

61.22% (

0.26)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.05)

21.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-0.08)

54.18% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 33.04%

Notts County 42.28%

Draw 24.67%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.04%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.28%