Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%).