Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for York City had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Notts County
31.11% ( -0.06)	24.12% ( 0)	44.77% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

-0.03)

43% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

-0.03)

65.4% (

0.04)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

-0.05)

26.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

-0.07)

61.63% (

0.08)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.02)

19.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.02)

51.21% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

York City 31.11%

Notts County 44.77%

Draw 24.12%

York City	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.77%