Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for York City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Grimsby Town
25.81% ( -0.02)	25.16% ( -0.03)	49.02% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.08% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26% (

0.08)

50.74% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

0.07)

72.63% (

-0.08)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

0.03)

34.3% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

0.03)

71% (

-0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

0.05)

20.72% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

0.08)

53.33% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

York City 25.81%

Grimsby Town 49.01%

Draw 25.16%

York City	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.81%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.01%