Club Friendlies 3
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Matthew Platt
19'
Duisburg vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Duisburg had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Duisburg win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result
Duisburg
24.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
22.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Notts County
53.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
57.96%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.87%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
42.13%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
35.47%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
64.53%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
18.62%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
81.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Duisburg Goals
Over 0.5
68.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
31.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
32.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
67.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5
84.13%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
15.87%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
54.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
45.07%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Duisburg
24.06%
Draw
22.81%
Notts County
53.12%
Duisburg
2-1
@
6.2%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.06%
1-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.81%
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.81%
Notts County
1-2
@
9.77%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.12%
0-1 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.12%