Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
PCC-Stadion
Notts County

Duisburg
3 - 1
Notts County

FT(HT: 0-1)
Platt (19')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Duisburg and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Duisburg

Last Game: Duisburg 0-5 Dortmund
Monday, September 14 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Notts County

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Duisburg had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Duisburg win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
DuisburgDrawNotts County
24.06% (0.038 0.04)22.81% (-0.02 -0.02)53.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.133 0.13)42.13% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.13200000000001 0.13)64.53% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Duisburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.123 0.12)67.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.040000000000006 0.04)15.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (0.076999999999998 0.08)45.07% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Duisburg 24.06%
    Notts County 53.12%
    Draw 22.81%
DuisburgDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.36% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.12%