Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.