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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Notts County

Swindon
1 - 2
Notts County

Kilkenny (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGoldrick (30', 80')
McGoldrick (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Grimsby Town
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
41.29% (-0.256 -0.26)23.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.12% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 62.68% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)39.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.117 0.12)61.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.111 -0.11)51.09% (0.116 0.12)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.19699999999999 0.2)22.31% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (0.291 0.29)55.77% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.29%
    Notts County 35.12%
    Draw 23.6%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
2-1
Notts County
Drinan (19'), Glatzel (73')
Aguiar (23'), Kokolo (72'), Blake-Tracy (90+1')
Jatta (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Swindon
McGoldrick (10'), Langstaff (35' pen.), Crowley (37')
Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')
Shade (49')
Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-1
Notts County
Woolery (69'), Robinson (74', 92')
Doughty (38')
Hemmings (52' pen.)
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Notts County
1-2
Swindon
Hemmings (40')
Hewitt (43'), Milsom (55'), Stead (65')
Alzate (65'), Turley (80' og.)
McCourt (15'), Nelson (43'), Knoyle (90'), Adebayo (90')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-0
Notts County
Norris (47')
Dunne (90')

Brisley (17'), Grant (90')
rhs 2.0


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