League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
  • Gavin Kilkenny 21' goal
  • goal David McGoldrick 30'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 69'
  • goal David McGoldrick 80'

Swindon Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Crewe 0 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Harry Smith

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2024 8.00pm
Notts County 4 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 41.29% (-0.26)
Draw 23.6% (-0.01)
Notts County 35.12% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.68% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.83% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 39.17% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 38.5% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 61.5% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 20.95% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 79.05% (-0.09)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.67% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 19.33% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 48.91% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 51.09% (+0.12)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 77.69% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 22.31% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 44.23% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 55.77% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 41.29%
Draw 23.6%
Notts County 35.12%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
Notts County
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Aaron Drinan 19' goal
  • Ricky Aguiar 23' yellowcard
  • Williams Kokolo 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 73' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 83' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 72'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
  • Michael Doughty 38' yellowcard
  • Kaiyne Woolery 69' goal
  • Theo Robinson 74' goal
  • Theo Robinson 92' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 52'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Kane Hemmings 40' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 55' yellowcard
  • Jon Stead 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jak McCourt 15'
  • yellowcard Sid Nelson 43'
  • goal Steven Alzate 65'
  • goal Jamie Turley 80' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kyle Knoyle 90'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 90'
League Two
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Norris 47' goal
  • James Dunne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 17'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 90'
League Two
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Stead 32' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 33'