League Two Gameweek 3
Notts County
Aug 22, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Alassana Jatta 6' goal
  • Dan Crowley 15' goal
  • Jacob Bedeau 29' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 45'+1' goal
  • Dan Crowley 57' goal
  • Alassana Jatta 65' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Rodgers 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kieran Green 67'

Notts County vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 18, 2024 1.00pm
Notts County 2 - 2 Fleetwood
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 38.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 23.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Grimsby Town 37.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 40.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.36%
Under 0.5 21.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Notts County 38.67%
Draw 23.88%
Grimsby Town 37.44%
Notts County
2-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
Grimsby Town
1-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.44%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
5
5
HT : 2 2
FT Blundell Park
Notts County
  • Danny Rose 7' goal
  • Abo Eisa 15' goal
  • Harry Clifton 52' goal
  • Abo Eisa 62' goal
  • Harry Clifton 87' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 23'
  • goal David McGoldrick 39'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 45'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 45'+4'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 60'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 79'
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 84'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 2
Notts County
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Matt Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 40' goal
  • Aaron Nemane 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 50' goal
  • Dan Crowley 61' goal
  • Aiden Stone 89' yellowcard
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Rose 17'
  • yellowcard Anthony Glennon 24'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 25'
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 34'
  • goal Harry Clifton 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
National League
Notts County
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Jim O'Brien 38' yellowcard
  • Ruben Rodrigues 73' goal
  • Zak Brunt 100' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 43'
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 85'
  • goal Gavan Holohan 90'+6'
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 119'
National League Gameweek 28
Notts County
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Cal Roberts 15' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 30' yellowcard
  • Zak Brunt 32' yellowcard
  • Joel Taylor 79' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cameron 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Lacey 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 52'
  • goal Ryan Taylor 76'
  • goal Luke Waterfall 90'
National League Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Notts County
  • Alex Hunt 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Rodrigues 45'
  • yellowcard Cal Roberts 54'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 90'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 45
Notts County
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
Grimsby Town
  • Craig Mackail-Smith 48' goal
  • Sam Stubbs 48' yellowcard
  • Mitch Rose 55' yellowcard
  • Harry Clifton 67' goal
  • yellowcard Reece Hall-Johnson 50'
  • goal Alex Whitmore 93'

Form Data

Notts County 2 - 2 Fleetwood
Shrewsbury 3 - 3 Notts County
Tranmere 0 - 0 Notts County
Peterborough 1 - 0 Notts County
Peterborough 4 - 3 Notts County
Boston 2 - 1 Notts County
Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Cheltenham
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Bradford
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 0 - 1 Mansfield
Alfreton 0 - 0 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 2 - 2 Rotherham