League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town

Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Grimsby Town
38.67% ( -0.02)	23.89% ( 0)	37.44% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.67% (

-0.02)

40.32% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.3% (

-0.02)

62.7% (

0.02)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

-0.02)

21.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19% (

-0.03)

53.81% (

0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36%

21.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

-0)

54.75% (

Score Analysis

Notts County 38.67%

Grimsby Town 37.44%

Draw 23.88%

Notts County	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.67%	1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.44%