League Two

League Two | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Davies (44', 90+3'), Vernam (51')
Vernam (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Young (61'), Taylor (82')
Bakare (36'), Payne (38'), Pett (43'), Taylor (57'), Bowman (77'), Bennett (90')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford (9-8 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Cheltenham
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
37.78% ( -0.38)	25.41% ( 0.09)	36.81% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45% (

-0.41)

47.55% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-0.39)

69.76% (

0.39)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

-0.39)

24.71% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.55)

59.25% (

0.56)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.03)

25.24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-0.04)

60% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 37.78%

Cheltenham Town 36.81%

Draw 25.41%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.81%