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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
| 26.51% ( | 25.24% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( | 50.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( | 72.46% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( | 70.27% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( | 20.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( | 53.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.24% |