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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Barrow

Carlisle
1 - 0
Barrow

Adu-Adjei (35')
Wyke (24'), Hayden (43'), Barclay (62'), Davies (82'), Vela (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vassell (37'), Gotts (45+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Stoke
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
26.51% (-0.196 -0.2)25.24% (-0.47 -0.47)48.25% (0.668 0.67)
Both teams to score 52.46% (1.283 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (1.758 1.76)50.54% (-1.756 -1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (1.534 1.53)72.46% (-1.531 -1.53)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (0.78200000000001 0.78)33.62% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (0.843 0.84)70.27% (-0.83999999999999 -0.84)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (1.017 1.02)20.97% (-1.014 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (1.563 1.56)53.72% (-1.56 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.51%
    Barrow 48.24%
    Draw 25.24%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-1 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 26.51%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.513 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.44 -0.44)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.207 0.21)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.166 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.136 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.24%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barrow
0-1
Carlisle
Barclay (16')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Carlisle
5-1
Barrow
Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Barclay (84' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow
Guy (90+5')
Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')