Rochdale
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Carlisle United

Rochdale
2 - 1
Carlisle

Mitchell (42'), Henry (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Butterworth (72')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Macclesfield 2-2 Rochdale
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Carlisle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Carlisle
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
39.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)34.8% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)50.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.012 -0.01)72.6% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.9% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.11%
    Carlisle United 34.8%
    Draw 26.09%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.11%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.8%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rochdale
0-1
Carlisle
Gordon (8')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)