National League | Gameweek 46

Apr 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
1 - 2
Rochdale

Scott-Morriss (8')
Scott-Morriss (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hayes (42'), Rodney (90+1')
Rodney (14'), Brooks (65')

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Southend
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Rochdale
63.66% ( -0.07)	20.25% ( 0.01)	16.1% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.25% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

0.05)

41.96% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.05)

64.36% (

-0.05)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.48% (

-0)

12.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.47% (

-0.01)

38.53% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

0.1)

39.13% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

0.09)

75.84% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Southend United 63.64%

Rochdale 16.1%

Draw 20.25%

Southend United	Draw	Rochdale
2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.44% Total : 63.64%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.25%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 16.1%